davidcalgary29 Posted September 29, 2004 Share Posted September 29, 2004 Tired of prognosticating in the "politics & religion" forum...and feeling like everyone's ignoring you anyway? Here's your chance to shine as armchair analyst with the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Contest! RULES: There are three separate components to this contest. 1. Predict-the-Popular Vote Contest! Participants must guess the anticipated popular vote garnered by each of Messrs. Bush, Kerry, and Nader. The guess with the best correlation to actual election-night (or week after) results will win this mini-contest. Guesses must be rounded to the nearest hundredth of a percentage point. Example: Candidate X: 45.44% Candidate Y: 39.93% The winner will receive a boxed Lynx game (of my choice). No, it will not be a crappy game. All entries must be posted by 2400, MST, on November 1, 2004. 2. Predict the Electoral College breakdown Contest! Participants must guess the number of electoral college votes won by each of Bush and Kerry, and guess who will win the electoral college vote in each of the following ten states: WV FL MI NJ CO NM WA OR AZ TN Any ties will be resolved by way of a coin toss (by me). And no, American coinage will not be used for the coin-toss. The winner of this mini-contest will receive a boxed Lynx game (of my choice; I've got a lot of boxed Lynx games) and a special () Jaguar CD game. 3. "The Aggregate Winner" contest All participants who enter both contests will be ranked according to actual election-night results on a numerical basis (e.g. 1-10, etc., with 1 being "best"). The overall winner of these two contests will win an Atari Lynx with two boxed games. The winner(s) of all three contests will be named within three days of the U.S. election in November notwithstanding any court actions appealing the results. One entry per AA member, please. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/ Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zach Posted September 29, 2004 Share Posted September 29, 2004 Expect my entry somewhere around 2359, MST, on November 1 2004. And might I humbly suggest that any coin toss be done with a toonie. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-710047 Share on other sites More sharing options...
NE146 Posted September 29, 2004 Share Posted September 29, 2004 Hrm.. hardly any views. Maybe you outta put "WIN A LYNX" in your subject Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-710428 Share on other sites More sharing options...
kemsted Posted October 1, 2004 Share Posted October 1, 2004 Hey, Im in. Itll be tough and worth a lynx and/or games. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-711180 Share on other sites More sharing options...
kemsted Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 My guesses... Bush will have 47.63% of the popular vote. Kerry will have 46.98% of the popular vote. Nader will have 5.39% of the popular vote. Bush will have 275 electoral college votes and will win the following states: FL MI NJ OR AZ Kerry will have 263 electoral college votes and will win thre following states: WV CO NM WA TN -kemsted Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733574 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xot Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Okay, here we go: Kerry 54.19% Bush 43.81% Nader 2.00% Electoral winners by state: WV Kerry FL Bush MI Kerry NJ Bush CO Bush NM Kerry WA Kerry OR Kerry AZ Bush TN Bush Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733597 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xot Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Oops. With 298 Electoral votes for Kerry and 240 for Bush. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733599 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Susuwatari Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 1. Predict-the-Popular Vote Contest! Kerry: 50.99% Bush: 49% Nader: 0.01% 2. Predict the Electoral College breakdown Contest! With Colorado possibly splitting the electoral votes, getting a number is tricky but here's my best guess: Kerry: 281 Bush: 257 Nader: zero, zip, zilch, nada, the goose egg, null, etc. I may be missing an electoral vote but I'm sure I got all 538 WV: Bush FL: Kerry MI: Keryy NJ: Kerry CO: Kerry NM: Kerry WA: Kerry OR: Kerry AZ: Kerry TN: Bush If I do win, do check with me as I have several Lynx games and I'd rather get a game I don't have (there are still a few "under $3 on eBay" games that I don't have) Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733605 Share on other sites More sharing options...
snorlaxnut Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Here's my entry: For contest # 1: Bush: 46.30% Kerry: 52.23% Nader: 0.47% ------------------ For Contest # 2: Bush: 263 Kerry: 275 WV : Bush FL : Bush MI : Bush NJ : Kerry CO : Bush NM : Kerry WA : Kerry OR : Kerry AZ : Kerry TN : Bush Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733658 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xot Posted November 2, 2004 Share Posted November 2, 2004 Yeah, shouldn't this thread be closed to entries by now? Not that I want to increase my chances of winning by limiting the number of entrants or anything... Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733772 Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidcalgary29 Posted November 2, 2004 Author Share Posted November 2, 2004 Yeah, shouldn't this thread be closed to entries by now? Not that I want to increase my chances of winning by limiting the number of entrants or anything... No more entries will be accepted at this point. I'll announce the winners tomorrow. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-733828 Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidcalgary29 Posted November 5, 2004 Author Share Posted November 5, 2004 An interesting election has shown that we armchair analysts were about as accurate as those Florida exit polls. But the winners, nonetheless are: Popular vote: Kemstead, for being the only entrant to correctly predict a Bush popular vote win; Electoral college: a tie between Snorlaxnut and Xot, who each correctly guessed 7 out of 10 states! Although Tony theoretically disqualified himself by not guessing total numbers ( ), he will indeed get a game. Aggregate: Susuwatari who, though not winning either contest, was close enough -- sorta -- overall to score the big Lynx package. THE GAMES: California Games Football Klax Boxed: Joust Jimmy Connors Tennis Power Factor STUN Runner Kondre will send each of the winners their wins; first PM gets priority on games won (although I do owe 2 more to Brett...) Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-735768 Share on other sites More sharing options...
NE146 Posted November 5, 2004 Share Posted November 5, 2004 Man.. I shoulda entered Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-735773 Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crimefighter Posted November 16, 2004 Share Posted November 16, 2004 Boy you guys are WAY off...I probably should had entered this one. But I haven't been reading the boards lately so it's my fault. Quote Link to comment https://forums.atariage.com/topic/58239-the-us-presidential-election-contest/#findComment-742347 Share on other sites More sharing options...
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